Decadal Trends and Spatial Analysis of Irrigation Suitability Indices Based on Groundwater Quality (2015–2024) in Agricultural Regions of Korea

Abstract

This study evaluated the decadal trends and spatial distribution of four irrigation suitability indices—Electrical Conductivity (EC), Sodium Adsorption Ratio (SAR), Magnesium Hazard (MH), and Kelley’s Ratio (KR)—using agricultural groundwater data collected from 157 monitoring sites across Korea between 2015 and 2024. Internationally recognized classification criteria were applied, long-term trends were analyzed using the Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator, and spatial distributions for 2015, 2020, and 2024 were visualized using Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW). The results showed that EC and SAR remained at generally low absolute levels but exhibited statistically significant increasing trends with Sen’s slopes of +0.0038 and +0.0053/year, respectively, indicating the necessity of long-term salinization management. KR remained largely stable throughout the study period. In contrast, MH displayed a distinct pattern, with unsuitable levels concentrated in Jeju Island—approximately 15% of monitoring sites were classified as unsuitable for irrigation. This was interpreted as the combined effect of the basaltic aquifer’s geological and hydrological characteristics, seawater intrusion, and the relatively high mobility of Mg compared with Ca. This study uniquely integrates temporal trend tests with spatial mapping at a national scale and offers a mechanistic interpretation of MH vulnerability in Jeju’s volcanic aquifers. These findings emphasize the need for tailored regional management centered on groundwater abstraction control and continuous monitoring to ensure the sustainable use of agricultural groundwater.