PERAMALAN PRODUKSI PADI KABUPATEN KENDAL: PENDEKATAN FUZZY TIME SERIES CHENG

Abstract

planning in Kendal Regency. By having more accurate estimates of rice production, better decisions can be made regarding resource allocation, distribution and storage of rice and other agricultural policies. The results of testing using the fuzzy Cheng time series to predict Kendal Regency rice production from 2012 to 2023 produced an average MAPE value of 5.09% with a total of 5 intervals and the predicted results for Kendal Regency rice production in 2024 were 180,195.09 tons with accurate results. forecasting 94.91%, so the prediction is considered very good.