Investigating Travel Mode Choices Under Environmental Stress: Evidence from Air Pollution Events in Chiang Rai, Thailand

Abstract

Air pollution poses growing challenges to public health and urban mobility in Southeast Asia. This study investigates how air quality crises affect travel mode choices in Chiang Rai, Thailand, a secondary city experiencing seasonal PM2.5 smog episodes. A structured online survey was conducted with 406 respondents, collecting paired data on travel behaviors during non-air quality crisis (N-AQC) and air quality crisis (AQC) periods. Using a multinomial logit model (MNL), key socioeconomic and trip-related variables were analyzed to estimate mode choice probabilities. The results reveal significant behavioral shifts during an air quality crisis, with private car usage increasing from 30.30% to 34.70% and motorcycle usage decreasing from 50.20% to 42.90%. Multinomial logit models attained correct classification rates of 67.5% and 63.8%, with pseudo R2 values exceeding 0.50 for both periods. These findings highlight how environmental stress alters travel behavior, especially among younger and low-income populations. The study contributes new insights from a Southeast Asian urban context, emphasizing the need for adaptive transport policies, protective infrastructure, and equity-focused interventions to promote sustainable mobility during an environmental crisis.