The Impact of Natural and Climatic Anomalies on the Dynamics of Economic Development

Abstract

Crisis events in the economy of the first half of the 21st century are considered as a manifestation of their inevitable cyclicality based on the correlation analysis of statistics of anomalous natural and climatic phenomena. Using spectral analysis methods, the rhythm of these events in the past was investigated, and simultaneously with the use of a specially developed neural model, their cyclical manifestation is predicted for the coming period - until 2049. It is shown that the cyclical nature of natural and climatic phenomena can be considered as one of the economy's macroeconomic indicators when conducting long-term forecasting of its dynamics.