Digital Economy, Green Finance, and Carbon Emissions: Evidence from China

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of the digital economy in reducing carbon emissions, with a particular focus on the moderating and threshold effects of green finance. An analysis of data from 30 Chinese provinces shows that the digital economy significantly reduces carbon emission intensity by restructuring energy consumption and promoting green technological innovation. Green finance plays a crucial moderating role by alleviating financial barriers to digital transformation and supporting the implementation of emission-reducing technologies. The study reveals a nonlinear relationship, with green finance exhibiting a “strong initial, weak subsequent” threshold effect. At the same time, the digital economy’s impact on carbon reduction strengthens over time as technological development progresses. These findings contribute to understanding how digitalisation and green finance can work synergistically to drive sustainable low-carbon development.