Dealing with Uncertainty in Strategic Decision-making

Abstract

Strategic uncertainty is the disparity between what one knows, and what one needs to know in order to make a responsible decision; it permeates defense decision-making. Because of strategic uncertainty, planners must maximize the robustness against surprise in striving to achieve critical goals. This article describes the decision methodology known as “robust-satisfying” and the integration of this method with other military decision-making processes. F