Detecting discontinuities in time series of upper-air data: development and demonstration of an adaptive filter technique

Abstract

Illustrates the use of an adaptive moving average filter in detecting systematic biases and to compare its performance with the Schwarz criterion, a parametric method. The advantage of the adaptive filter over traditional parametric methods is that it is less affected by seasonal patterns and trends. The filter has been applied to upper-air relative humidity and temperature data. The accuracy of locating the time at which a bias is introduced ranges from about 600 days for changes of 0.1 standard deviations to about 20 days for changes of 0.5 standard deviations.