Prediction of Indonesian Palm Cooking Oil Exports Based on Competitiveness

Abstract

This research seeks to analyze the relationship between the export values of Indonesia’s palm cooking oil and their export competitiveness, and to predict Indonesia’s palm cooking oil export values for the future For this purpose, this research uses the Generalized Linear Mode, Poisson Regression Model, to examine the relationship between the competitiveness and export performance of Indonesia’s palm cooking oil and to predict Indonesia’s palm cooking oil exports for the future. Based on the research we find that the competitiveness of Indonesia’s palm cooking oil exports has a positive effect on the Indonesia’s palm cooking oil exports. In the future, exports of Indonesia’s palm cooking oil are expected to continue to increase and Indonesia will continue to dominate the world market. This occurs mainly due to the high and even increasing competitiveness of exports of Indonesian palm cooking oil products compared to its competitors.