The estimation of carbon emission on the result of road transportation reallocation

Abstract

Carbon emission reduction becomes a concern in the development of road transportation. Government policy and direction perform a vital role in the current condition. This study aims to estimate the total carbon emission influenced by several conditions: vehicle volume, vehicle speed, public transportation involvement, and implementation of odd-even vehicle plate policy using system dynamics modeling. According to the result, it is shown that the involvement of public transportation and the effectiveness of odd-even plate implementation has been decreased sharply in 2030 to 2,79E+05 tons CO2e from 7,00E+11 ton CO2e. That condition is applied for the same assumption of 40% the effectiveness oddeven plate implementation, fuel economy ratio 16 km/l, total travel distance 214 km, and speed vehicle 70 km/h. Therefore, the Government's role in improving, providing, or adding public transportation frequency is highly recommended in future development.