Geographical Mapping of Dengue Fever Incidence 2012-2016 in Makassar, Indonesia

Abstract

To present the geographical map of Dengue fever (DF) in Makassar city, Indonesia, we used the registered DF data to compute the relative risk (RR) of DF in different areas of Makassar city, Indonesia, for a five-year period (from 2012 to 2016). This paper aim to identify the the spatial distribution of DF occurrence to provide the map of risk area in Makassar City through the geographical map. To estimate RR for DF in Makassar City, Indonesia, the Besag York Mollie (BYM) model was proposed. The Bayesian estimates of DF relative risk were utilized for geographical mapping of DF. The results of the present study reveals that DF is still a serious health problem in Makassar city, Indonesia. The distribution of high and low risk areas of DF occurrences for all sub-districts in Makassar City can be identified in the risk geographical map to allow the better allocation and risk assessment.