Predictive role of the neutrophil: lymphocyte ratio in acute kidney injury associated with off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting

Abstract

Objectives: This study aims to investigate whether the ratios of cell types in peripheral blood could be used as reliable predictors of off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG)-associated acute kidney injury (AKI). Materials and methods: We retrospectively reviewed patients (n = 420) undergoing off-pump CABG from January 1, 2021 to January 1, 2022 in Qilu Hospital of Shandong University. We used logistic regression analysis to identify the potential predictors of off-pump CABG-associated AKI and construct a predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability of predictors and prediction models. Results: The prevalence of AKI associated with off-pump CABG was 20.95%. Patients in the AKI group had significantly higher ratios of peripheral blood cells on postoperative day (POD)1 than patients in the non-AKI group (P < 0.01). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on POD1 for predicting off-pump CABG-associated AKI was 0.780 and the cutoff value was 20.07. Patients with high NLR on POD1 had a poor short-term prognosis. The AUC of the predictive model constructed by logistic regression analysis was 0.882. The sensitivity was 68.2% and the specificity was 93.1%. Conclusion: The NLR on POD1 was a reliable predictive biomarker of off-pump CABG-associated AKI. And we successfully construct a prediction model, which contribute to the early recognition and management of off-pump CABG-associated AKI.