Systematicity and Stability Analysis of Land Use Change—Taking Jinan, China, as an Example

Abstract

The study of the systematic stability of land use change is essential for regulating land use results and layout. This article took Jinan, China, as an example, and used the land transfer matrix to calculate the changing area and intensity based on remote sensing image maps and land use status maps, and then used the intensity analysis method to compare the changing intensity with the average intensity at three levels: interval level, land category level, and transition level. The systematicity and stability of land use changes from 2005 to 2018 in Jinan were analyzed using intensity analysis. The results showed that the intensity of land use change in Jinan led to a rapid change pattern from 2005 to 2010 and a slow change pattern from 2010 to 2018. The occupation of cultivated land by construction land in Jinan showed high activity, while the transition process of cultivated land to construction land and other land categories showed a steady, systematic change pattern, other land categories showed different trends and intensities of change, and the transition of forest land and other land categories showed stability in time scale. The results showed that the changes in construction land were mainly due to external influences, showing a systematic non-steady change pattern.