Genealogical constructions of population models

Abstract

Representations of population models in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed, in which each particle has a "type," typically recording both spatial position and genetic type, and a level. for finite intensity models, the levels are distributed on [0,λ], whereas in the infinite intensity limit λ→∞, at each time t, the joint distribution of types and levels is conditionally Poisson, with mean measure Ξ(t) × ℓ where ℓ denotes Lebesgue measure and Ξ(t) is a measure-valued population process. The time-evolution of the levels captures the genealogies of the particles in the population. Key forces of ecology and genetics can be captured within this common framework. Models covered incorporate both individual and event based births and deaths, one-for-one replacement, immigration, independent "thinning" and independent or exchangeable spatial motion and mutation of individuals. Since birth and death probabilities can depend on type, they also include natural selection. The primary goal of the paper is to present particlewith- level or lookdown constructions for each of these elements of a population model. Then the elements can be combined to specify the desired model. In particular, a nontrivial extension of the spatial ∇-Fleming-Viot process is constructed.