Evaluation of the Artificial Neural Networks—Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate near Real-Time (PDIR-Now) Satellite’s Ability to Monitor Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in Mainland China

Abstract

As one of the countries with the most severe extreme climate disasters in the world, it is of great significance for China to scientifically understand the characteristics of extreme precipitation. The artificial neural network near-real-time dynamic infrared rainfall rate satellite precipitation data (PDIR-Now) is a global, long-term resource with diverse spatial resolutions, rich temporal scales, and broad spatiotemporal coverage, providing an important data source for the study of extreme precipitation. But its applicability and accuracy still need to be evaluated in specific applications. Based on the observation data of 824 surface meteorological stations in China, the correlation coefficient (R), relative deviation (RB), root mean square error (RMSE), and relative root mean square error (RRMSE) of quantitative statistical indicators were used to evaluate the annual maximum daily precipitation of PDIR-Now from 2000 to 2016 in this study, in order to explore the ability of PDIR-Now satellite precipitation products to monitor extreme precipitation in Chinese mainland. The results show that from the perspective of long-term series, the annual maximum daily precipitation of PDIR-Now has a good ability to monitor extreme precipitation across the country, and the R exceeds 0.6 in 65% of the years. The RMSE of different years is generally distributed between 40 and 60 mm, and in terms of time characteristics, the error of each year is relatively stable and does not fluctuate greatly with dry precipitation or abundant years. From the perspective of spatial characteristics, the distribution of RMSE is very regional, with the RMSE in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau and Northwest China basically in the range of 0~20 mm, the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau, the Sichuan Basin, Northeast China, and the central part of the study area in the range of 20~50 mm, and the RMSE in a few stations in the southeast coast greater than 80 mm. The RRMSE distribution of most sites is between 0 and 0.6, and the RRMSE distribution of a few sites is between 0.6 and 1.5. Generally, higher RRMSE values and larger errors are observed in the northwest and southeast coastal regions. Overall, PDIR-Now captures the regional characteristics of extreme precipitation in the study area, but it is underestimated in the wet season in humid and semi-humid regions and overestimated in the dry season in arid and semi-arid regions.