Cascading implications of a single climate change event for fragile ecosystems on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

With changing climates globally, we see changes in not just average conditions, but also in extreme events, and such events require special attention due to their unpredictable yet significant impact on native biotas. One such event is the formation of a landscape scar at Zonag Lake caused by a climate change-induced outburst flooding event that occurred on 15 September 2011. During the winter, the scar region became a new birthplace for sandstorms, and since the flooding, remote sensing monitoring shows that between 2011 and 2020, there were 285 sandstorm days (between November and March), relative to none prior. The outburst flooding event and consequential sandstorms threaten the key lambing area of the Tibetan antelope (Chiru), affect the water balance of the Zonag Lake and downstream lakes, and may even impact on the flow in the Yangtze River. Active human intervention may be needed to repair this new desert spit and reverse the slew of consequences which may otherwise lead to significant population declines in one of the major Chiru breeding grounds due to the progressive loss of vegetation productivity across their main breeding area.