Predicting Nitrogen Flavanol Index (NFI) in Mentha arvensis Using UAV Imaging and Machine Learning Techniques for Sustainable Agriculture

Abstract

Crop growth monitoring at various growth stages is essential for optimizing agricultural inputs and enhancing crop yield. Nitrogen plays a critical role in plant development; however, its improper application can reduce productivity and, in the long term, degrade soil health. The aim of this study was to develop a non-invasive approach for nitrogen estimation through proxies (Nitrogen Flavanol Index) in Mentha arvensis using UAV-derived multispectral vegetation indices and machine learning models. Support Vector Regression, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting were used to predict the Nitrogen Flavanol Index (NFI) across different growth stages. Among the tested models, Random Forest achieved the highest predictive accuracy (R2 = 0.86, RMSE = 0.32) at 75 days after planting (DAP), followed by Gradient Boosting (R2 = 0.75, RMSE = 0.43). Model performance was lowest during early growth stages (15–30 DAP) but improved markedly from mid to late growth stages (45–90 DAP). The findings highlight the significance of UAV-acquired data coupled with machine learning approaches for non-destructive nitrogen flavanol estimation, which can immensely contribute to improving real-time crop growth monitoring.