The Use of Tourism Demand Models in the Estimation of the Impact of Climate Change on Tourism

Abstract

With the increasing interest in evaluating the consequences of climate change on tourism, part of the literature on tourism demand modelling has tried to integrate climate and weather factors into the estimation of tourism demand models. This study analyses how the effects of climate change on tourism flows have been evaluated using these models by discussing the theoretical background behind each one of the three perspectives considered in the literature: time series, choice models and aggregated models. Despite the differences in methodological considerations, results suggest a similar map on major affected destinations.