Fuzzy-based risk prediction model for cardiovascular complication of patient with type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypertension

Abstract

Cardiovascular diseases are chronic diseases that cause serious morbidity and mortality worldwide. Unfortunately, the patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypertension have a high risk of having a cardiovascular complication. For these reasons, patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypertension should be aware of cardiovascular complication along their healthcare journey. To prevent cardiovascular complication from diabetes and hypertension, accurate risk prediction is required for a long term self-management process. Consequently, this paper proposes a fuzzy logic based method for predicting cardiovascular risk particularly for a patient with type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypertension. This paper also proposes a set of factors based on the patient’s lifestyle as the key factors besides clinical factors because of their implicit impact on the quality of life of the patient. The proposed model thus employs 15 predictors for both clinical and lifestyle risk factors. Additionally, the proposed model is constructed based on the scientific data and implicit knowledge of the experts. The experiment with 121 patients shows that the proposed prediction model provides 96.69% accuracy compared to those decided by the experts.