Analysis of the Strategy for the Energy Policy of Poland until 2030 implementation effects in the aspect of environmental protection taking into account the energy security of Poland

Abstract

The article analyzes whether, after almost 10 years of strategy presented in the Polish energy policy until 2030, implementation effects in terms of the economy impact on the natural environment are visible. The changes in the energy-efficiency index were also taken into account, as well as the possibilities of replacing hard coal in the energy mix by another energy carrier. The article also includes forecasts of the future development of greenhouse-gas emissions in Poland, in order to determine how the implementation of the strategy set by Poland will take place over several years. ARIMA-class models were used for this purpose.