Credible Uncertainties for Natural Gas Properties Calculated from Normalised Natural Gas Composition Data

Abstract

The evaluation of measurement uncertainty of natural gas properties calculated from composition data are an essential aspect of fiscal metering in the trade of natural gas. For conformity assessment, and in gas allocation, it is essential to have a reliable value for the uncertainty. This need is also reflected in, e.g., ISO 6976, the standard for computing natural gas properties, which follows the requirements of the “Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement” much more closely. Normalised compositions and their associated standard uncertainties do not suffice for this purpose. A novel algorithm is provided to recover these correlations from the normalised fractions and associated standard uncertainties, enabling the industry work with the data already stored in their repositories. The standard uncertainties are reproduced within 2%, which is acceptable for uncertainty calculations. The correlation coefficients obtained from the recovery algorithm agree with the ones obtained by normalisation.