Antecipação e surpresa monetária e seus efeitos nas taxas de juros de mercado

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the effects of Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM) actions on the yield curve of the Brazilian economy, in a scenario where the market is concerned to understand the monetary authority behavior through a Taylor-type rule. The results suggest that the market has been able to anticipate adequately the changes in the Selic rate target and monetary surprises has led the market to revise its DI futures contracts, influencing the market interest rates.