Multi-view short-term photovoltaic power prediction combining satellite images feature learning and graph mutual information feature representation

Abstract

With the introduction of national policies, photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting requirements for PV power plants are becoming increasingly stringent. It is particularly critical that PV power predictions are accurate while new energy is being consumed. It is also important to consider the satellite imagery of the location of the PV power plant and the meteorological information of the plant itself. The authors aim to explore the impact of these two elements on PV power prediction to better support PV power prediction. Therefore, this paper explores the cloud information elements of the satellite images from a multi-view perspective and performs feature extraction and processing of the meteorological information to learn the impact of cloud cover on PV power prediction. Meanwhile, this paper introduces the mutual information mechanism for the influence of meteorological factors on PV power generation. It constructs the mutual information matrix and adopts the graph neural network for representation learning. A time-series prediction model for short-term PV power prediction is constructed and more accurate prediction results are obtained. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method is effective, has generalisation ability, and improved performance compared with the traditional model. The proposed method can also provide a novel approach and solution for short-term PV power prediction.