CT Radiomic Nomogram Using Optimal Volume of Interest for Preoperatively Predicting Invasive Mucinous Adenocarcinomas in Patients with Incidental Pulmonary Nodules: A Multicenter, Large-Scale Study

Abstract

Introduction: This study evaluated the efficacy of radiomic analysis with optimal volumes of interest (VOIs) on computed tomography images to preoperatively differentiate invasive mucinous adenocarcinoma (IMA) from non-mucinous adenocarcinoma (non-IMA) in patients with incidental pulmonary nodules (IPNs). Methods: This multicenter, large-scale retrospective study included 1383 patients with IPNs, 110 (8%) of whom were pathologically diagnosed with IMA postoperatively. Radiomic features were extracted from multi-scale VOI subgroups (VOI−2 mm, VOIentire, VOI + 2 mm, and VOI + 4 mm). Resampling methods, specifically, the synthetic minority oversampling technique, addressed the imbalance between the majority (IMA) and minority (non-IMA) groups. Radiomic features were identified using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm. Radscores were calculated by linearly combining the selected features with their weights. A combined nomogram integrating the optimal VOI-based radiomic model with the image-finding classifier was constructed. Results: Bubble lucency and lower lobe predominance were significant in establishing an image-finding classifier to differentiate between IMA and non-IMA in IPNs, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.684 (0.568-0.801). Across all radiomic models, IMA had a higher Radscore than did non-IMA. Specifically, the VOI + 2 mm-based radiomic model exhibited the highest performance, with an AUC of 0.832 (0.753-0.911). The combined nomogram outperformed the recognized image-finding classifier and radiomic models, achieving an AUC of 0.850 (0.776-0.925). Conclusion: A nomogram that combines a recognized image-finding classifier with an optimal VOI-based radiomic model effectively predicts IMA in IPNs, aiding physicians in developing comprehensive treatment strategies.