Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C

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Abstract

Limiting global mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C is increasingly out of reach. Here we show the impact on global cooling demand in moving from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C of global warming. African countries have the highest increase in cooling requirements. Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Norway (traditionally unprepared for heat) will suffer the largest relative cooling demand surges. Immediate and unprecedented adaptation interventions are required worldwide to be prepared for a hotter world.

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Miranda, N. D., Lizana, J., Sparrow, S. N., Zachau-Walker, M., Watson, P. A. G., Wallom, D. C. H., … McCulloch, M. (2023). Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C. Nature Sustainability, 6(11), 1326–1330. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01155-z

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