Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Hydrology Using an Integrated Water Quality Index

Abstract

Traditional Water Quality Indices (WQIs) often fail to capture the significant impact of flow velocity on water quality, especially under varying hydrological conditions. In this study, an Integrated Water Quality Index (IWQI) was developed by combining water quality parameters and flow rate, providing a more comprehensive assessment under various flow conditions. Compared to traditional indices, the IWQI showed slightly lower correlations in individual parameter performance, but it performed well in evaluating water quality changes associated with flow variations. Parameters such as Total Phosphorus (TP), Total Coliforms (TC), and Fecal Coliforms (FC), which are prevalent pollutants in the Cheongmi River, significantly influenced IWQI scores. River water quality was evaluated using input data simulated under a climate change scenario. When precipitation was abundant, the IWQI score remained relatively stable even with reduced flow rates. However, during periods of insufficient rainfall, water quality deteriorated sharply. While general water quality parameters exhibited approximately a 10% change as flow decreased, TC and FC showed rapid deterioration, with change rates ranging from 20% to 60%. These findings underscore the importance of managing TC and FC, particularly when insufficient rainfall is predicted, as they are major sources of pollution.