Statistical power in genome-wide association studies and quantitative trait locus mapping

Abstract

Power calculation prior to a genetic experiment can help investigators choose the optimal sample size to detect a quantitative trait locus (QTL). Without the guidance of power analysis, an experiment may be underpowered or overpowered. Either way will result in wasted resource. QTL mapping and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are often conducted using a linear mixed model (LMM) with controls of population structure and polygenic background using markers of the whole genome. Power analysis for such a mixed model is often conducted via Monte Carlo simulations. In this study, we derived a non-centrality parameter for the Wald test statistic for association, which allows analytical power analysis. We show that large samples are not necessary to detect a biologically meaningful QTL, say explaining 5% of the phenotypic variance. Several R functions are provided so that users can perform power analysis to determine the minimum sample size required to detect a given QTL with a certain statistical power or calculate the statistical power with given sample size and known values of other population parameters.