A Machine Learning System to Indicate Diagnosis of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Non-Invasively in Challenging Cases

Abstract

Radiologic usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) patterns and concordant clinical characteristics define a diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, limited expert access and high inter-clinician variability challenge early and pre-invasive diagnostic sensitivity and differentiation of IPF from other interstitial lung diseases (ILDs). We investigated a machine learning-driven software system, Fibresolve, to indicate IPF diagnosis in a heterogeneous group of 300 patients with interstitial lung disease work-up in a retrospective analysis of previously and prospectively collected registry data from two US clinical sites. Fibresolve analyzed cases at the initial pre-invasive assessment. An Expert Clinical Panel (ECP) and three panels of clinicians with varying experience analyzed the cases for comparison. Ground Truth was defined by separate multi-disciplinary discussion (MDD) with the benefit of surgical pathology results and follow-up. Fibresolve met both pre-specified co-primary endpoints of sensitivity superior to ECP and significantly greater specificity (p = 0.0007) than the non-inferior boundary of 80.0%. In the key subgroup of cases with thin-slice CT and atypical UIP patterns (n = 124), Fibresolve’s diagnostic yield was 53.1% [CI: 41.3–64.9] (versus 0% pre-invasive clinician diagnostic yield in this group), and its specificity was 85.9% [CI: 76.7–92.6%]. Overall, Fibresolve was found to increase the sensitivity and diagnostic yield for IPF among cases of patients undergoing ILD work-up. These results demonstrate that in combination with standard clinical assessment, Fibresolve may serve as an adjunct in the diagnosis of IPF in a pre-invasive setting.