Revisiting Contrail Ice Formation: Impact of Primary Soot Particle Sizes and Contribution of Volatile Particles

Abstract

Aircraft contrails, formed largely on soot particles in current flights, are important for aviation’s non-CO2 climate impact. Here we show that the activation of nonvolatile soot particles during contrail formation is likely determined by the sizes of primary soot particles rather than the effective sizes of soot aggregates as assumed in previous studies, which can explain less-than-unity fractions of soot particles forming contrail ice particles as recently observed during ECLIF (Emission and CLimate Impact of alternative Fuels) campaigns. The smaller soot primary sizes compared to aggregate sizes delay the onset of contrail ice formation, increase the maximum plume supersaturation reached in the contrail plume, and thus increase the probability of small volatile particles contributing to the total contrail ice particle number. This study suggests that the range of conditions for volatile plume particles to contribute significantly to the contrail ice number budget is wider than previously thought. As the aviation industry is moving toward sustainable aviation fuel and/or lean-burning engine technology, which is expected to reduce not only the emission index of nonvolatile soot particles but also the sizes of primary soot particles, this study highlights the need to better understand how the combined changes may affect contrail formation, contribution of volatile particles, and climate impacts.