Contribution of body mass index, waist circumference, and 25-OH-D3 on the risk of pre-diabetes mellitus in the Chinese population

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the associations between body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), 25-hydroxy-vitamin D3 (25-OH-D3), and the risk of pre-diabetes mellitus (PDM), as well as their predictive values in identifying PDM. A total of 1688 participants were included in this cross-sectional investigation. Spearman’s correlation analysis was used to assess the relationships between candidate indicators and PDM. The impact of indicators on PDM risk was determined by multivariate logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate the prognostic value of indicators. Our study indicated a positive correlation between WC, BMI, and 25-OH-D3 and PDM. WC (OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.04–1.06, p < 0.001), BMI (OR = 1.11, 95% CI = 1.08–1.15, p < 0.001), and 25-OH-D3 (OR = 1.01, 95% CI = 1.00–1.02, p = 0.037) and an increased risk of PDM. Additionally, the ROC analysis demonstrated that WC (AUC = 0.651, Specificity = 55.00%, Sensitivity = 67.900%) had a higher diagnostic value for predicting PDM compared to the other variables (BMI, 25-OH-D3, TG, TC, LDL-C, HDL-C, and UA). A cut-off value of WC > 80.5 cm predicted PDM with both good sensitivity and specificity. Additionally, the cut-off value of waist circumference (WC) for men with prediabetes was 86.500, while for women with prediabetes, it was 76.500.