Current Incidence and Future Projection of Periprosthetic Fractures in South Korea: A Study Based on National Claim Database

Abstract

Objective: To evaluate the current incidence and economic cost and to estimate the future burden of periprosthetic fracture (PF) after joint arthroplasties in South Korea. Methods: This study was a retrospective registry-based study of patients who were diagnosed as periprosthetic fractures (PFs) in South Korea. Cases of PF from 2010 to 2017 in South Korea using Health Insurance and Review and Assessment (HIRA) database, which contains all medical claims for all South Korean patients, were identified. The operational definitions of PFs were identified from the Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) code of the Korean National Health Insurance Program (KHNIP). The annual incidence and medical costs during the period were calculated and the future increase of PF and its cost were projected through 2030 using generalized linear model with quasi-poisson link. Results: During the 8-year period, 14,456 patients were treated due to PFs. The annual number of patients with PF remarkably increased from 1,322 in 2010 to 2,636 in 2017. The increment was prominent in age groups of 70–79 and ≧80. Total number of patients with PF were 9752 in women and 4704 in men during the study period. Mean personal costs were 1,155.4 USD in women and 1,185.5 USD in men. The total cost of PFs increased from 779,533 USD in 2010 to 3,888,402 USD in 2017. The personal cost of PFs also increased from 589.7 USD in 2010 to 1,475.1 USD in 2017. In 2017, the number of PF patients exponentially increased after 50 years of age especially in women. Estimated with our projection model, the number of PFs will increase by 2.5 times and the cost will increase by 10 times in the next 10 years. Conclusion: The incidence and cost of PFs are rising and will represent a serious socioeconomic burden in South Korea.