Intervention thresholds and cesarean section rates: A time-trends analysis

Abstract

Introduction: To improve understanding of rising cesarean section (CS) rates in the UK, this study assessed the relation between clinician thresholds for performing CS for delayed labor progress or suspected fetal distress and corresponding CS rates in Aberdeen, UK. Material and methods: Time-trends analysis of term births from 1988 to 2012 in a population of nulliparous women (N = 53 745) in Aberdeen, UK, using Chi-square test for trend, and binary logistic regression. Data were obtained from the Aberdeen Maternity and Neonatal Databank. Results: Unplanned CS rates per quintile increased from 11.0% (1391/12 686) to 21.1% (2383/11 273) between 1988 and 2012, while planned CS rates increased from 2.7% (338/12 686) to 5.2% (591/11 273). The median duration of labor before CS for delayed progress per quintile decreased from 17.2 (IQR 12.5-22.3) to 13.1 hours (9.6-16.9) before first stage CS and from 17.1 (12.6-22.3) to 15.3 (11.5-19.1) hours before second stage CS (P