An emerging trend of rapid increase of leukemia but not all cancers in the aging population in the United States

Abstract

The “baby boomers” born in 1946–1964 in the United States (U.S.) started to reach the age of 65 in 2011, rapidly accelerating U.S. population aging. There are great public concerns about its impact on health care with anticipation of rising cancer incidences. We examined the incidences and deaths of leukemia and overall cancer in the U.S. from 1998 to 2018. The acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) incidences remained constant prior to 2011 but have climbed up substantially since then, and the chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) incidence has increased continuously since 1998. The significant increase of myeloid leukemia and CLL incidences was strongly correlated with the U.S. population aging. The incidence of all cancers was increased in correlation with a small increase in aging population prior to 2011, but surprisingly has changed marginally since 2011, which was not significantly correlated with the accelerated population aging. We observed the most substantial decline of deaths with CML, whereas AML deaths continued to rise in the past 20 years. In conclusion, the overall cancer incidence was not increased as fast as previously feared with aging Americans; however, the incidences of myeloid leukemia and CLL significantly outpaced that of all cancers.