Credit Supply Shocks: Financing Real Growth or Takeovers?

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Abstract

How do firms invest when financial constraints are relaxed? We document that firms affected by a large positive credit supply shock predominantly increase borrowing for transaction-based purposes. These treated firms have larger asset and employment growth rates; however, growth entirely stems from the increased takeover activity. Announcement returns indicate a low quality of the credit-supply-induced takeover activity. These results offer the possibility that credit-driven growth can simply reflect redistribution, rather than net gains in assets or employment.

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Berg, T., Streitz, D., & Wedow, M. (2024). Credit Supply Shocks: Financing Real Growth or Takeovers? In Review of Corporate Finance Studies (Vol. 13, pp. 428–458). Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/rcfs/cfac034

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