On the prediction of isolation, release, and decease states for COVID-19 patients: A case study in South Korea

Abstract

A respiratory syndrome COVID-19 pandemic has become a serious public health issue nowadays. The COVID-19 virus has been affecting tens of millions people worldwide. Some of them have recovered and have been released. Others have been isolated and few others have been unfortunately deceased. In this paper, we apply and compare different machine learning approaches such as decision tree models, random forest, and multinomial logistic regression to predict isolation, release, and decease states for COVID-19 patients in South Korea. The prediction can help health providers and decision makers to distinguish the states of infected patients based on their features in early intervention to take an action either by releasing or isolating the patient after the infection. The proposed approaches are evaluated using Data Science for COVID-19 (DS4C) dataset. An analysis of DS4C dataset is also provided. Experimental results and evaluation show that multinomial logistic regression outperforms other approaches with 95% in a state prediction accuracy and a weighted average F1-score of 95%.