Early changes in renal resistive index and mortality in diabetic and nondiabetic kidney transplant recipients: a cohort study

Abstract

Background: Renal resistive index (RI) predicts mortality in renal transplant recipients (RTR). However, its predictive value may be different according to the time of measurement. We analysed RI changes between 1 month and 3 months after transplantation and its predictive value for death with a functioning graft (DWFG). Methods: We conducted a retrospective study in 1685 RTR between 1985 and 2017. The long-term predictive value of changes in RI value from 1 month to 3 months was assessed in diabetic and non-diabetic RTR. Results: Best survival was observed in RTR with RI < 0.70 both at 1 and 3 months, and the worst survival was found in RTR with RI ≥ 0.70 both at 1 and 3 months (HR = 3.77, [2.71–5.24], p < 0.001). The risk of DWFG was intermediate when RI was < 0.70 at 1 month and ≥ 0.70 at 3 months (HR = 2.15 [1.29–3.60], p = 0.003) and when RI was ≥0.70 at 1 month and < 0.70 at 3 months (HR = 1.90 [1.20–3.03], p = 0.006). In diabetic RTR, RI was significantly associated with an increased risk of death only in those with RI < 0.70 at 1 month and ≥ 0.70 at 3 months (HR = 4.69 [1.07–20.52], p = 0.040). RI considered as a continuous variable at 1 and 3 months was significantly associated with the risk of DWFG in nondiabetic but not in diabetic RTR. Conclusion: RI changes overtime and this impacts differently diabetic and nondiabetic RTR. RI short-term changes have a strong prognosis value and refines the risk of DWFG associated with RI.