Three-Way Ensemble Prediction for Workload in the Data Center

Abstract

Accurate prediction of data center workload, an important technology of cloud computing, is particular in improving resource utilization and reducing energy consumption. However, the workload presents a quasi-volatile, is challenging to obtain accurate results in cloud resource management. In this paper, the three-way ensemble prediction for workload in the data center is first proposed to improve the accuracy of the prediction. Moreover, we first defined the workload as the stable period, the volatility period, and the jitter period and adopted a simulated annealing algorithm to learn the optimal threshold to divide the workload. Then, according to the basic idea of the three-way decision, we assigned various prediction models based on workload characteristics and a priori error prediction to improve the prediction accuracy further. Finally, all the experimental results carried on the CPU load monitoring logs from Google cluster trace and compared with ARIMA, NN, and DMASVR-3WD, TWD-RCPM improve the accuracy of workload prediction by 69.0%, 68.6% and 72.6%, respectively.