A novel model based on interleukin 6 and insulin-like growth factor II for detection of hepatocellular carcinoma associated with hepatitis C virus

Abstract

Background: The coexistence of cirrhosis complicates the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Thus, novel biomarkers for HCC early detection are needed urgently. Traditionally, HCC detection is carried out by evaluating alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels combined with imaging techniques. This work aimed to assess interleukin (IL-6) and insulin-like growth factor 2 (IGF 2) as possible HCC markers in comparison to AFP in patients with and without HCC. Results: ROC analysis showed that IGF2 had the highest area under the curve (AUC) for discriminating HCC from liver cirrhosis (0.86), followed by IL6 (0.82), AFP (0.72), and platelet count (0.6). A four-marker model was developed and discriminated HCC from liver cirrhosis with an AUC of 0.97. The best cut-off was 1.28, at which sensitivity and specificity were 90% and 85%, respectively. For small tumor (< 2 cm), the model had an AUC of 0.95 compared to AFP (0.72). Also, the model achieved perfect performance with AUC of 0.93, 0.94, and 0.95 for BCLC (0-A), CLIP (0-1), and Okuda (stage I), respectively, compared to AFP (AUC of 0.71, 0.69, and 0.67, respectively). Conclusions: The four markers may serve as a diagnostic model for HCC early stages and help overcome AFP poor sensitivity.