Predictors of referral for long-term EEG monitoring for Medicare beneficiaries with drug-resistant epilepsy

Abstract

Objective: For people with drug-resistant epilepsy, the use of epilepsy surgery is low despite favorable odds of seizure freedom. To better understand surgery utilization, we explored factors associated with inpatient long-term EEG monitoring (LTM), the first step of the presurgical pathway. Methods: Using 2001–2018 Medicare files, we identified patients with incident drug-resistant epilepsy using validated criteria of ≥2 distinct antiseizure medication (ASM) prescriptions and ≥1 drug-resistant epilepsy encounter among patients with ≥2 years pre- and ≥1 year post-diagnosis Medicare enrollment. We used multilevel logistic regression to evaluate associations between LTM and patient, provider, and geographic factors. We then analyzed neurologist-diagnosed patients to further evaluate provider/environmental characteristics. Results: Of 12 044 patients with incident drug-resistant epilepsy diagnosis identified, 2% underwent surgery. Most (68%) were diagnosed by a neurologist. In total, 19% underwent LTM near/after drug-resistant epilepsy diagnosis; another 4% only underwent LTM much prior to diagnosis. Patient factors most strongly predicting LTM were age <65 (adjusted odds ratio 1.5 [95% confidence interval 1.3–1.8]), focal epilepsy (1.6 [1.4–1.9]), psychogenic non-epileptic spells diagnosis (1.6 [1.1–2.5]) prior hospitalization (1.7, [1.5–2]), and epilepsy center proximity (1.6 [1.3–1.9]). Additional predictors included female gender, Medicare/Medicaid non-dual eligibility, certain comorbidities, physician specialties, regional neurologist density, and prior LTM. Among neurologist-diagnosed patients, neurologist <10 years from graduation, near an epilepsy center, or epilepsy-specialized increased LTM likelihood (1.5 [1.3–1.9], 2.1 [1.8–2.5], 2.6 [2.1–3.1], respectively). In this model, 37% of variation in LTM completion near/after diagnosis was explained by individual neurologist practice and/or environment rather than measurable patient factors (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.37). Significance: A small proportion of Medicare beneficiaries with drug-resistant epilepsy completed LTM, a proxy for epilepsy surgery referral. While some patient factors and access measures predicted LTM, non-patient factors explained a sizable proportion of variance in LTM completion. To increase surgery utilization, these data suggest initiatives targeting better support of neurologist referral.