Prediction of MYCN Amplification, 1p and 11q Aberrations in Pediatric Neuroblastoma via Pre-therapy 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics

Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to assess the predictive ability of 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomic features for MYCN, 1p and 11q abnormalities in NB. Method: One hundred and twenty-two pediatric patients (median age 3. 2 years, range, 0.2–9.8 years) with NB were retrospectively enrolled. Significant features by multivariable logistic regression were retained to establish a clinical model (C_model), which included clinical characteristics. 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomic features were extracted by Computational Environment for Radiological Research. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to select radiomic features and build models (R-model). The predictive performance of models constructed by clinical characteristic (C_model), radiomic signature (R_model), and their combinations (CR_model) were compared using receiver operating curves (ROCs). Nomograms based on the radiomic score (rad-score) and clinical parameters were developed. Results: The patients were classified into a training set (n = 86) and a test set (n = 36). Accordingly, 6, 8, and 7 radiomic features were selected to establish R_models for predicting MYCN, 1p and 11q status. The R_models showed a strong power for identifying these aberrations, with area under ROC curves (AUCs) of 0.96, 0.89, and 0.89 in the training set and 0.92, 0.85, and 0.84 in the test set. When combining clinical characteristics and radiomic signature, the AUCs increased to 0.98, 0.91, and 0.93 in the training set and 0.96, 0.88, and 0.89 in the test set. The CR_models had the greatest performance for MYCN, 1p and 11q predictions (P < 0.05). Conclusions: The pre-therapy 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics is able to predict MYCN amplification and 1p and 11 aberrations in pediatric NB, thus aiding tumor stage, risk stratification and disease management in the clinical practice.