Predicting admission to long-term care and mortality among community-based, dependent older people in Ireland

Abstract

Objective: To identify factors that predict admission to long-term care (LTC) and mortality among community-based, dependent older people in Ireland, who were in receipt of formal home support. Methods: An audit was conducted of all community-dwelling older adults receiving government funded home support during 2017 in the Dublin North Central, Health Service Executive administrative area. Data were extracted from the Common Summary Assessment Report (CSAR), a mandatory form used in the provision of home support. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to examine the factors associated with admission to LTC and mortality, with the results presented as odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals. Results: The audit comprised 1597 community-dwelling older adults with a mean age of 83.3 (SD: 7.2) years. The prevalence of transition to LTC and mortality was 8% and 9%, respectively, during the 12-month period. Factors significantly associated with admission to LTC were “cognitive dysfunction” [OR 2.10 (1.41-3.14), P