Prognostic value of the combination of microsatellite instability and BRAF mutation in colorectal cancer

Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of the combination of microsatellite instability (MSI) and BRAF V600E mutation in colorectal cancer (CRC). Materials and methods: We compare the prognosis difference among CRC patients with four subtypes according to MSI and BRAF mutation, ie, microsatellite stable/BRAF wild type (MSS/BRAFwt), MSS/BRAF mutation (MSS/BRAFmut), MSI/BRAFwt, and MSI/BRAFmut, by pooling the previous related reports and public available data sets till December 2017 for the first time. Results: Twenty-seven independent studies comprising 24,067 CRC patients were included. Meta-analysis suggested that, compared with MSS/BRAFwt subtype, MSS/BRAFmut was associated with shorter overall survival (OS) (N=25, HR = 2.018, 95% CI = 1.706–2.388, P=2.220E-16), while there was a trend of association of MSI/BRAFmut with OS (N=13, HR = 1.324, 95% CI = 0.938–1.868, P=1.096E-01) and no association of MSI/BRAFwt with OS (N=17, HR = 0.996, 95% CI = 0.801–1.240, P=9.761E-01). Compared with MSI/ BRAFwt subtype, MSI/BRAFmut was a poor factor for OS (N=22, HR = 1.470, 95% CI = 1.243–1.740, P=7.122E-06). Compared with MSS/BRAFmut subtype, both MSI/BRAFwt (N=11, HR = 0.560, 95% CI = 0.433–0.725, P=1.034E-05) and MSI/BRAFmut (N=16, HR = 0.741, 95% CI = 0.567–0.968, P=2.781E-02) were favorable for OS. Subgroup analysis revealed similar results in all subgroups except the subgroup of stage IV cancer, in which MSI showed poor effects on OS in BRAF wild-type patients (N=6, HR = 1.493, 95% CI = 1.187–1.879, P=6.262E-04) but not in BRAF-mutated patients (N=5, HR = 1.143, 95% CI = 0.789–1.655, P=4.839E-01). Meta-analysis regression and test of interaction revealed no interaction of MSI with BRAF mutation when evaluating the associations of MSI/BRAF mutation subtypes with OS in CRC. Conclusion: Among the four subtypes according to MSI and BRAF mutation, MSS/BRAFmut was a poor prognostic factor, while MSS/BRAFwt and MSI/BRAFwt were comparable and favorable and MSI/BRAFmut was moderate in CRC. The combination of MSI/BRAF mutations could facilitate the planning of individualized treatment strategies and prognosis improvement in CRC.