DGM-CM6: A New Model to Predict Distant Recurrence Risk in Operable Endocrine-Responsive Breast Cancer

Abstract

To investigate the prognostic value of DGM-CM6 (Distant Genetic Model-Clinical variable Model 6) for endocrine-responsive breast cancer (ERBC) patients, we analyzed 752 operable breast cancer patients treated in a Taiwan cancer center from 2005 to 2014. Among them, 490 ERBC patients (identified by the PAM50 or immunohistochemistry method) were classified by DGM-CM6 into low- and high-risk groups (cutoff <33 and ≥33, respectively). Significant differences were observed between the DGM-CM6 low- and high-risk groups for 10-year distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) in both lymph node (LN)- (P < 0.05) and LN+ patients (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis confirmed the independent strength of DGM-CM6 for the prediction of high- vs. low- risk groups for DRFS (P < 0.0001, HR: 6.76, 95% CI, 1.8–25.42) and overall survival (P = 0.01, HR: 6.06, 95% CI:1.55–23.47), respectively. In summary, DGM-CM6 may be used to classify low- and high-risk groups for 10-year distant recurrence in both LN- and LN+ ERBC patients in the Asian population. A large scale clinical trial is warranted.