New Quality Productive Forces Enabling High-Quality Development: Mechanism, Measurement, and Empirical Analysis

Abstract

To assist resource-based regions in overcoming the bottlenecks of industrial transformation and advancing high-quality development, this paper conducts an in-depth analysis of the internal mechanisms through which new quality productive forces contribute to high-quality development. Based on the construction of a measurement index system, a comprehensive measurement model is established, which includes three components: a coupling coordination degree model integrating the entropy method and grey relational analysis, an impact factor analysis model based on random effects Tobit regression, and a trend prediction model using the GM(1,1) approach. Taking Hebei Province as an example, an empirical analysis was conducted and relevant policy suggestions were proposed. The research findings are summarized as follows: (1) New quality productive forces promote high-quality development through driving, guiding, and synergistic mechanisms; (2) From 2013 to 2022, the coupling coordination degree across various cities in Hebei Province evolved from moderate imbalance to primary coordination, with the spatial pattern transitioning from “higher in the south and lower in the north” to a “central rise” phase, and finally to a stage of “all-round coordination”; (3) Forecast results indicate that inter-city coordination will continue to improve over the next five years; (4) Urbanization, scientific and technological innovation, and government intervention are identified as the core driving factors for promoting coordinated development. This study provides both theoretical methodological support and regional empirical evidence for the role of new quality productive forces in enabling high-quality development in resource-based regions.