Flood detection in the Upper Krishna Basin through integrated geospatial analysis: leveraging decision frameworks and statistical measures

Abstract

Floods threaten the environment and human settlements across river basins globally, including the Upper Krishna Basin in India. This research delves into evaluating flood hazard areas within the Upper Krishna Basin utilizing the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Frequency Ratio (FR), and Statistical Index (SI). These methodologies prioritize and classify flood-prone regions by integrating spatial and non-spatial criteria. The findings reveal significant variations in flood risk classification across the Upper Krishna Basin based on the three models. The AHP model identifies 3.37% of the region as low flood risk, with 22.90% classified as moderate risk, and 68.27% as high risk. In contrast, the FR model designates 3.76% as low risk, 10.50% as moderate risk, and 42.21% as high risk. Meanwhile, the SI model identifies 1.04% of areas with low risk, 35.38% with under-high risk, and 57.87% with very high risk. Validation using Receiver Operating Characteristic-Area Under the Curve (ROC-AUC) values demonstrates the superior reliability of the SI model. These findings offer valuable insights for decision-makers to allocate resources and implement effective flood mitigation measures.