Accretion–erosion dynamics of the yellow river delta and the relationships with runoff and sediment from 1976 to 2018

Abstract

Timely understanding of the coastal accretion–erosion dynamics of the Yellow River Delta (YRD) can not only deepen the understanding of the evolution of the delta but also provide scientific support for water-sediment regulation (WSR) in the lower reaches of Yellow River and the implementation of a protection strategy for the Yellow River Estuary. In this long-term study, Landsat images from 1976 to 2018 were acquired, and the cloud processing platform of the Google Earth Engine was used for extraction of coastlines. On the basis of these coastlines, the area and accretion–erosion dynamics were analyzed. Then, after statistical analysis of the interannual and intra-annual variations in runoff and sediment, we discuss the relationship between the accretion– erosion dynamics and the annual runoff and sediment. The results show that (1) the coastline of the YRD lengthened first and then shortened, and the average annual growth rate was 1.48 km/a. (2) The land area of the YRD showed a significant accretionary trend before 1996, with an average annual growth rate of 28.60 km2/a. Then, the area gradually decreased from 1997 to 2001. After WSR was implemented in 2002, the accretion–erosion dynamics gradually became smooth, with an annual growth rate of 0.31 km2/a. (3) After WSR, the maximum annual sedimentation decreased by 79.70%. The average annual sediment discharge accounted for only 6.69% from November to March of the following year during the non-flood season. (4) With the continuous decrease in sediment discharge, the determination coefficient (R2) between the cumulative accretion–erosion area of the estuary and the annual sedimentation decreased from 0.98 in 1976–1996 to 0.77 after 2002. Overall, although WSR has maintained a steady increase in delta land area, it cannot change the long-term decrease in the land area of the delta. The insights gained from our study can provide some references for related coastline research, and will be useful to science community and decision makers for coastal environmental monitoring, management, protection, and sustainable development of the YRD.