COVID-19 Epidemic Analysis in India with Multi-Source State-Level Datasets

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a global crisis affecting billions of people and causing countless economic losses. Different approaches have been proposed for combating this crisis, including both medical measures and technical innovations, e.g., artificial intelligence technologies to diagnose and predict COVID-19 cases. While there is much attention being paid to the USA and China, little research attention has been drawn to less developed countries, e.g., India. In this study, I conduct an analysis of the COVID-19 epidemic in India, with datasets collected from different sources. Several machine learning models have been built to predict the COVID-19 spread, with different combinations of input features, in which the Transformer is proven as the most precise one. I also find that the Facebook mobility dataset is the most useful for predicting the number of confirmed cases. However, I find that the datasets from different sources are not very effective when predicting the number of deaths caused by the COVID-19 infection.