CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores predict the risk of ischemic stroke outcome in patients with interatrial block without atrial fibrillation

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Abstract

Aim: To evaluate the role of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores in predicting the risk of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) outcomes in patients with interatrial block (IAB) without a history of atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: A retrospective study was conducted, including 1,046 non-anticoagulated inpatients (612 males, 434 females; mean age: 63±10 years) with IAB and without AF. IAB was defined as P-wave duration >120 ms using a 12-lead electrocardiogram. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were retrospectively calculated. The primary outcomes evaluated were ischemic stroke or TIA. Results: During the mean follow-up period of 4.9±0.7 years, 55 (5.3%) patients had an ischemic stroke or TIA. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the CHADS2 score [area under the curve (AUC), 0.638; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.562–0.715; P =0.001] and the CHA2DS2-VASc score (AUC, 0.671; 95% CI, 0.599–0.744; P <0.001) were predictive of ischemic strokes or TIA. Cut-off point analysis showed that a CHADS2 score ≥3 (sensitivity=0.455 and specificity=0.747) and a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥4 (sensitivity=0.564 and specificity=0.700) provided the highest predictive value for ischemic stroke or TIA. The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that CHADS2 [hazard ratio (HR), 1.442; 95% CI, 1.171–1.774; P =0.001] and CHA2DS2-VASc (HR, 1.420; 95% CI, 1.203 –1.677; P <0.001) scores were independently associated with ischemic stroke or TIA following adjustment for smoking, left atrial diameter, antiplatelet agents, angiotensin inhibitors, and statins. Conclusions: CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores may be predictors of risk of ischemic stroke or TIA in patients with IAB without AF.

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Wu, J. T., Wang, S. L., Chu, Y. J., Long, D. Y., Dong, J. Z., Fan, X. W., … Qian, P. (2017). CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores predict the risk of ischemic stroke outcome in patients with interatrial block without atrial fibrillation. Journal of Atherosclerosis and Thrombosis, 24(2), 176–184. https://doi.org/10.5551/jat.34900

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