System Dynamic Simulation to Determine the Effect of Water Consumption on Land Subsidence during Covid-19 Pandemic in Jakarta

Abstract

Excessive groundwater extraction is believed to be one of the main factors for land subsidence which may be caused by tidal flooding due to the position of the surface which is lower than sea level. Covid-19 pandemic that has occurred in Indonesia since March 2020 has caused changes in water consumption patterns which derives from piped water and groundwater. There are many offices and industries that implement work from home (WFH) makes many buildings have a declining occupancy rate. With the decrease in the occupancy rate of the WFH policy, there will be a possibility that groundwater consumption from high-rise buildings that draw groundwater from deep aquifers can be reduced. This research is in the form of modelling and simulation that is used to build a level of understanding on a whole system as well as the interrelationships and interactions between its constituent variables. The purpose of this research was to determine the effect of groundwater consumption during Covid-19 pandemic on land subsidence in Jakarta using the dynamic system simulation method. The results showed that the work from home policy reduces groundwater consumption by 64.7%. In addition, the reduction in groundwater consumption during the Covid-19 pandemic caused land subsidence in Jakarta slows down and the rate of land subsidence in Jakarta decreased from 3.7 cm/year to 1 cm/year.