Development and validation of a radiomics-based nomogram for predicting a major pathological response to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy for patients with potentially resectable non-small cell lung cancer

Abstract

Introduction: The treatment response to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy varies among patients with potentially resectable non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLC) and may have severe immune-related adverse effects. We are currently unable to accurately predict therapeutic response. We aimed to develop a radiomics-based nomogram to predict a major pathological response (MPR) of potentially resectable NSCLC to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy using pretreatment computed tomography (CT) images and clinical characteristics. Methods: A total of 89 eligible participants were included and randomly divided into training (N=64) and validation (N=25) sets. Radiomic features were extracted from tumor volumes of interest in pretreatment CT images. Following data dimension reduction, feature selection, and radiomic signature building, a radiomics-clinical combined nomogram was developed using logistic regression analysis. Results: The radiomics-clinical combined model achieved excellent discriminative performance, with AUCs of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.74-0.93) and 0.81(95% CI, 0.63-0.98) and accuracies of 80% and 80% in the training and validation sets, respectively. Decision curves analysis (DCA) indicated that the radiomics-clinical combined nomogram was clinically valuable. Discussion: The constructed nomogram was able to predict MPR to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy with a high degree of accuracy and robustness, suggesting that it is a convenient tool for assisting with the individualized management of patients with potentially resectable NSCLC.