Stability analysis of a host-vector transmission model for pine wilt disease with asymptomatic carrier trees

Abstract

A deterministic model for the spread of pine wilt disease with asymptomatic carrier trees in the host pine population is designed and rigorously analyzed. We have taken four different classes for the trees, namely susceptible, exposed, asymptomatic carrier and infected, and two different classes for the vector population, namely susceptible and infected. A complete global analysis of the model is given, which reveals that the global dynamics of the disease is completely determined by the associated basic reproduction number, denoted by R0. If R0 is less than one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, and in such a case, the endemic equilibrium does not exist. If R0 is greater than one, the disease persists and the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable.